This is a thread to discuss and hopefully track the evaluations of people who analyze NFL prospects and players. We had a recent discussion about mock drafts (which I have no interest in) versus comments about specific players. I want to give an example of why the latter is valuable and meaningful to me. Here’s something that Jim Mora said about Josh Rosen:
— The MMQB (@theMMQB) April 2, 2018
If Mora’s comments are accurate, I take this as a significant red flag–specifically the remarks about how Rosen has a lot of interests and the line, “…if you can hold his concentration level and focus on football for only a few years, he will set the world on fire.” To me, this is a significant condition, making it sound like the responsibility falls on the coaches to get Rosen to concentrate and focus on football. I don’t care how talented a player is, if they’re not really passionate about football, my interest in that player will decline significantly.
Now, that doesn’t mean Rosen will not become a good QB. He could. But if Rosen doesn’t totally love football, and that he needs help being interested in it, I think the odds of him developing into a great QB go down considerably. It’s not the type of situation I’d want to gamble on. All draft picks have risks, and there are no guarantees. But the nature of the risks vary from player to player. This is where accurate assessment of a player’s strengths and weaknesses have value for me. With this kind of information, you could make better decisions, based on the risks you’re comfortable with versus those that you aren’t.