18 thoughts on “The Biden Administration

  1. Here’s something odd: I was eager to watch the first press conferences with the new White House press secretary, and I had a specific yearning for boring competence. Given the last four years, I guess this yearning is understandable, not odd, on some level, but to be enthused to hear responses that were cliched or political boilerplate–responses that I had taken for granted and often bored me–is a strange feeling. It reminds me of time I spent 10 days in the French Quarter–with no Asian food (or any other type of food outside of French, cajun, and fried). The teri chicken bowl at the San Francisco Airport was one of the best I’ve had.

    I should say that Jen Psaki, the WH press secretary, wasn’t just satisfyingly boring. I thought was good, really good. I’m interested in seeing how long this will last.

    1. Did you see what she put on Twitter yesterday?

    2. I didn’t see that, but this is cool. I’m really liking her so far. I can’t tell how much of this is just because of the contrast between the previous press secretaries, though.

  2. Handling the Covid-19 Pandemic

    A different approach to leadership

    Straight talk in the beginning. That’s what we need. Americans can handle this. Optism and encouraging words. Conveying he has a plan.

    Now, the Biden Administration needs to execute the plan.

    A different approach to science

  3. Criticisms against Biden Administration and the press coverage of them

    Republicans and conservatives complain about liberal bias in the media, which leads to move favorable coverage for Democrats and more negative coverage for Republicans. I’m going to try to keep track of this, to evaluate and compare to the coverage of Trump and other Republicans.

    I’m also going to try to examine actual criticisms the right directs at Biden and his administration.

    Here’s the first one I came across:

    Another about Kamala Harris: When Kamala Was a Top Cop: from Conor Friedersdorf

    “If elected, can the candidate be trusted to hold government officials accountable and oversee a progressive criminal-justice system? Her past says no.”

    (Note: To me, patterns are critical. One-off signs of bad judgment or bad character do not concern me as much, unless it’s really bad. But a pervasive pattern of something negative is a big deal.)

    Edit

    This is dumb, but if this is just one story that quickly fades, it’s not a big deal.

    2/7/2021

    I tend to agree. I didn’t listen to Biden’s comments, but I don’t think he should promote his son’s book.

    2/12/2021

    I think this is totally fair:

    I don’t know what the WH staff said exactly to the Politico reporter, but it was bad enough to get him a week suspension without pay. Maybe Biden was referring primarily to treatment of employees or subordinates. The statement is not clear–but why wouldn’t it apply to the way his staff treats reporters or people outside the White House? The problem is that Biden made this statement–if he wasn’t going to follow through, saying this was a mistake. (It’s like when Obama publicly drew a red line for Assad. Doing this is mistake if you’re not going to follow through.)

    2/13/2021

    Whether this is right or wrong move, it is consistent with what Biden said.

  4. Good article on the Senate filibuster. (The author leans towards abolishing it.)

    I’d like to hear a good rebuttal to this. If you guys find any, please post it here.

    More:

    Opinion: Democrats are faced with a choice. Protect the filibuster or protect democracy. by E,J. Dionne in WaPo

    Last week, the Brennan Center for Justice reported that, “In a backlash to historic voter turnout in the 2020 general election, and grounded in a rash of baseless and racist allegations of voter fraud and election irregularities, legislators have introduced three times the number of bills to restrict voting access as compared to this time last year.”

    The 106 bills the center identified in 28 states sought to limit mail voting, impose stricter voter ID requirements, roll back voter-friendly registration policies and enable more aggressive voter purges. What Donald Trump and his mob could not achieve before President Biden’s inauguration will instead come through the back door of state-level legislation.

    Dionne argues that the Senate should end the filibuster to pass voting rights package that will prevent voter suppression.

  5. Biden’s Stimulus Package

    A critique–or more cautious support.

    Opinion: The Biden stimulus is admirably ambitious. But it brings some big risks, too. Lawrence Summers WaPo op-ed

    Summers, who was Treasury Secretary in the Obama Administration, after Tim Geitner, has two major concerns as well as ways to address them:

    First, while there are enormous uncertainties, there is a chance that macroeconomic stimulus on a scale closer to World War II levels than normal recession levels will set off inflationary pressures of a kind we have not seen in a generation, with consequences for the value of the dollar and financial stability. This will be manageable if monetary and fiscal policy can be rapidly adjusted to address the problem. But given the commitments the Fed has made, administration officials’ dismissal of even the possibility of inflation, and the difficulties in mobilizing congressional support for tax increases or spending cuts, there is the risk of inflation expectations rising sharply. Stimulus measures of the magnitude contemplated are steps into the unknown. For credibility, they need to be accompanied by clear statements that the consequences will be monitored closely and, if necessary, there will be the capacity and will to adjust policy quickly.

    Second, long before covid-19, the U.S. economy faced fundamental problems of economic injustice, slow growth and inadequate public investment in everything from infrastructure to preschool education to renewable energy. These are at the heart of Biden’s emphasis on building back better.

    If the stimulus proposal is enacted, Congress will have committed with essentially no increase in public investment to address these challenges. After resolving the crisis, how will political and economic space be found for the public investments that should be the nation’s highest priority?

    Is the thinking that deficits can prudently be expanded longer and further? Or that new revenue will be raised? If so, will this be politically feasible?

    2/5/2021

    Thread from economist, Paul Krugman, in response to Summers:

    The jobs report and the Biden plan: the plan is mainly NOT ABOUT STIMULUS: It’s disaster relief to get us through the pandemic. It will, however, have some stimulative effect. And some liberalish economists worry about overheating 1/

    What the weakness in the economy tells us is to worry a lot less (although I don’t think we should have worried much in the first place). The economy seems to be stalling or worse; this means that stimulus from the plan will be a good thing, not a problem 2/

    Far better to run the risk of needing some monetary tightening a year from now than risking an inadequate plan that repeats the mistakes of 2009 … 3/

    Also, he says this later:

    One important point about the Biden plan: to the extent it provides stimulus, that will fall if the economy does better than expected. Unemployment benefits will shrink if unemployment is lower; state and local governments will bank some of their aid if revenue rises 1/

    So any worries you might have about excessive demand should be alleviated by this de facto “automatic stabilizer” aspect of the plan 2/

    From Austan Goolsbee (who worked in the Obama administration–economic adviser, I think):

    Goolsbee on Summers’ op-ed: “I don’t think he’s right … He’s thinking of this as a traditional stimulus. It’s not. This is a rescue and relief package.”

    “We face a bunch of permanent damage if we do not do a relief package big and quickly”

    I feel like Summers isn’t disagreeing that much with Krugman and Goolsbee. Summers seems to be believe that the plan is sound and that going too big is better than going too small. He’s just raising potential risks and suggesting a way to respond to them.

    2/7/2021

    How to Make Biden’s American Rescue Plan Better from Stan Veuger, from the Bulwark

    3/13/2021

    Stimulus Solves Most — But Not All — State and Local Budget Problems from Governing

  6. When U.S. presidents spoke like this, I remember taking their words for granted.

    Now, I don’t. This is great to hear. This is who we are.

  7. Biden’s lies and distortions

    I want to keep track of these–to evaluate the way the mainstream press is covering him and as a way to compare Biden to Trump.

    Fact-checking Biden’s address to the nation from WaPo

    “That’s more deaths than in World War I, World War II, Vietnam War and 9/11 combined.”’

    The president said 527,726 Americans have been recorded as dying from the coronavirus. But, as we have noted before, about 580,000 people died in the three wars he mentioned.

    I’m not sure why Biden is saying this, again.

    “I set a goal that many of you said was kind of way over the top. I said I intended to get 100 million shots in people’s arms in my first hundred days in office.”

    …As for whether many Americans said the goal was “way over the top,” we are unaware of polling that would confirm that. Most news accounts depicted Biden’s goal as potentially difficult, but not impossible, when he announced it in early December.

  8. Immigration can make or break the Biden presidency

    This is an issue I’m going to be watching closely. If the President doesn’t handle this issue properly, he and the Democrats could suffer significant losses in the next two elections. Trump and the GOP will use demagogic rhetoric, and attempt to create the impression that many dangerous immigrants are flooding into the country. Biden has to show that he is strong and in control of the borders and effectively counter these claims. Failing to do this will likely strengthen Trump and the GOP.

    More here:

    Biden Has a Border Problem from David Frum in the Atlantic

    3/24/2021

    From WaPo: There’s no migrant ‘surge’ at the U.S. southern border. Here’s the data.

    We looked at data from U.S. Customs and Border Protection to see whether there’s a “crisis” — or even a “surge,” as many news outlets have characterized it. We analyzed monthly CBP data from 2012 to now and found no crisis or surge that can be attributed to Biden administration policies. Rather, the current increase in apprehensions fits a predictable pattern of seasonal changes in undocumented immigration combined with a backlog of demand because of 2020’s coronavirus border closure.

    This surprised me, particularly the part about the numbers being part of a predictable pattern.

    1. Biden taps Harris to handle border crisis from WaPo

      The first thought that popped into my head when I read this: This is a huge gamble. If Harris and the Biden administration do a go job of reducing and/or controlling the flow of immigrants at the Southern border, including reducing the overcrowding and bad conditions of those waiting for processing, this could really shore a potentially big weakness for Harris as a presidential candidate.

      Failure on immigration will create very fertile ground for demagoguery–and the GOP and people like Tucker Carlson and Trump will definitely exploit this. VP Harris is a black woman, which only makes potentially worse for Harris and the Democrats. However, Biden and Harris handle immigration well, stirring up fears will be that much more difficult.

      A part of me feels choosing Harris to spearhead this seems like a big risk. On the other hand, even if she’s not the point person, the GOP will hammer her and Biden if immigration goes badly. Additionally, she could very well be the best person for this, if she’s had to deal with this as a DA in California. Finally, since the Biden administration wants to work with Mexico and other central American countries, Harris will get some foreign relations experience in the process. If she’s able to work well with these leaders, that only makes her a stronger U.S. president.

    2. Harris-led campaign to stem migration from Central America faces steep challenges from WaPo

      A key part of the Biden Administration’s plan to deal with immigration is to help the economies and governments of Central American countries. The idea is that if those countries improve, politically and economically, less people will immigrate to the U.S. That makes sense.

      The problem is that this could be a huge undertaking by the U.S.–akin to nation building. What should be asked is how feasible are significant improvements? Do the countries have the key components to have a functioning government and healthy economy (with a strong middle class)?

      Here’s a bad sign:

      But similar campaigns under previous administrations have failed to make meaningful progress, leading to cyclical spikes at the border since 2014. And high-level corruption among government officials has complicated U.S. efforts to negotiate with leaders who have little political will for reform.

      While helping those countries to become more stable and economically healthy is a sensible idea, I hope the Biden Administration counting heavily on this. They probably should have a robust plan in place if these improvements are not made.

      To expect Harris to be more effective in this type of nation building seems really unreasonable.

      There’s also this:

      But many migration experts question the entire premise of deterring migration through development assistance, arguing that, in the short term, economic growth leads to more migration, as more people are able to afford the journey. Even security gains don’t always lead to a decrease in migration: In Honduras, the homicide rate was halved between 2012 and 2019, and yet the exodus of Hondurans increased.

      While the belief that improving political and economic conditions would reduce emigration is sensible, what if it’s not actually true? What if, even with improvements, America remains more attractive to a lot of Central Americans? This is plausible to me. I think the Hispanic population continues to grow, and if there are more Spanish speakers in the U.S., with the other benefits America has to offer, even if Central American countries improve, large numbers of Central Americans might still want to emigrate to the U.S.

      A question: What would the conditions have to be in Central American countries to significantly reduce the desire to come to America? Are these conditions realistic?

      In recent years, smuggling networks have grown, along with the ability of would-be migrants to borrow vast amounts of money to pay smugglers. For many rural Hondurans and Guatemalans, migration is a far more accessible option than ever before.

  9. The danger of overreaching

    Reading about the recent stimulus bill and now this infrastructure and climate change package, I’m concerned that Biden and Democrats are overreaching. For one thing, they’re spending a heck of a lot of money. I support improving infrastructure and dealing with climate change, but I almost get the sense Democrats don’t think one can spend too much. Man, we could sure use a healthy conservative party to balance things out. If the Republicans want to prove they care about bi-partisanship, they should offer reasonable compromises. If the Democrats don’t accept these, that will expose Democrats of being unreasonable.

    Biden’s infrastructure and climate plan emerges as congressional wrangling begins from WaPo

  10. “Opinion: A dumb attack on Biden’s plan actually reveals the weakness of GOP arguments” WaPo op-ed by Greg Sargent

    As Sargent describes it, Republicans calling Biden’s plan of “higher taxes on the wealthy, including an increase in the capital gains tax on those with income over $1 million, and a hike in the rate paid by earners in the top income bracket,” socialism. But this is inaccurate, as a political economist, Steven Vogel points out in the article:

    Government rules enable markets to exist in the first place, Vogel notes, so the choice is how to structure markets, in whose interests and for what purpose. These market rules, Vogel explains, structure power relationships between various players and factors in the economy.

    We always have choices about the structure of the market. Vogel contends that the structure, based on policy choices, have benefited the wealthy. For example,

    Changes in labor market law weakened worker power relative to employers. Changes in corporate governance channeled higher salaries to executives and prioritized shareholder gains over other stakeholders’ interests. Changes in financial regulation helped the financial sector seize a larger share of the economy. A retreat on antitrust enforcement, and more generous government protection for intellectual property rights, have granted more market power (and profits) to dominant firms, such as in Big Tech and Big Pharma.

    The big story: The top has benefited partly from economic rents, or extractive gains rooted in deliberate changes in market rules.

    It seems wrong to say that making a different choice about the market structures is “socialist” just because the wealthy don’t benefit from that structure.

  11. Infrastructure plan

    The controversy, besides the cost of Biden’s proposal, is that he’s included things that are not traditionally considered infrastructure–e.g., childcare and eldercare. Honestly, whether one supports this or not (and I more open to it, but not enthusiastic), this is not infrastructure; including this would expand and redefine the term.

    My preference is to focus on what both sides can agree on, and then get that done. But the Democrats voice worries about this approach:

    Democrats signal they’re open to concessions on infrastructure from WaPo

    All this jockeying makes some liberals nervous that Biden’s overtures could lead to a significantly smaller infrastructure package than his initial $2.25 trillion proposal. A bipartisan bill — particularly one focused on roads, bridges and Internet — could sap the energy for a larger package containing liberal priorities like elder care and child care, they fear.

    I think their fears shouldn’t be dismissed. But here’s what I would say:

    • If the bill can be bipartisan, that will boost Biden and the Democrats politically–at least with moderate Americans–who, I thin, comprise the majority. Such a bill will create the impression that government can work–and I think Biden (and the Democrats) will get credit for this. This is one of the reasons McConnell has taken a more obstructionist stance. His problem, and other Republicans like him, is that they care almost exclusively about power and not actually solving significant problems.
    • If they succeed–if there is a handful of Republicans who cant put the country ahead of themselves and their party–this bill could possibly generate good will among these Republicans with the Democrats. That could possibly create some momentum to work together on future bills.
    • I’m a bit skeptical on that last point, and now is a good time to reiterate the need for GOP to go out their way to show they actually care about bipartisanship and solving problems. The overwhelming evidence is that they only care about power.
    • If Biden fails to get a few Republicans on board, the key is he needs to make a good faith effort. He should make enough compromises that it’s clear that he is being reasonable and that if the Republicans reject this, they are not serious about bipartisanship.

    Going this path could derail bills that address things progressive cares about. But, to me, the bigger picture is restoring faith in the government. I do think a significant number of citizens were so disgusted and frustrated with gridlock that a person like Trump became attractive to them. If Biden and Democrats can show that government can be effective and cooperation between Dems and GOP can occur, people may be less apt to turn to a authoritarian.

    By the way, one possibility is that Biden included childcare and eldercare being prepared to jettison those things from the bill. The GOP attacked the bill for those things, and said they value traditional infrastructure. If Biden agrees to remove those things from the bill, this should increase the likelihood of getting the GOP on board–or it will expose them as not caring about bipartisanship. (This type of exposure has occurred before, too.)

    1. Biden shift reassures Republican senators on bipartisan infrastructure deal from WaPo

      Let me back up. Biden and some Democratic and Republican senators made a bi-partisan agreement on an infrastructure bill earlier last week. But after the agreement was announced, Biden, inexplicably in my view, said he would not sign the bill unless it also came with another bill on “human infrastructure” (e.g., childcare). Republican were angry at this–understandably in my view.

      But this weekend Biden walked back his remarks:

      On Saturday, Biden walked back his remarks somewhat, saying he had not intended to issue a veto threat and that he intended to support the infrastructure plan “without reservation or hesitation.”

      “Our bipartisan agreement does not preclude Republicans from attempting to defeat my Families Plan; likewise, they should have no objections to my devoted efforts to pass that Families Plan and other proposals in tandem,” Biden stated. “We will let the American people — and the Congress — decide. The bottom line is this: I gave my word to support the Infrastructure Plan, and that’s what I intend to do. … I fully stand behind it without reservation or hesitation.”

      According to the article, this appeased a lot of Senate (?) Republicans, which I’m glad to hear.

      I’m hoping this will pass. In addition to moving towards upgrading infrastructure, something that’s been needed for a long time, this should be a salve for those frustrated by Washington gridlock. It’s a sign, albeit a small one, that the federal government can work.

  12. Biden gets snippy and annoyed at a reporter.

    This is not a huge deal, but I believe some Trump supporting outlets are complaining that the media would have strongly criticized Trump for doing something similar. To me, Biden lost his cool, and he should not have, but comparing this reaction to the press with Trump’s is apples to oranges. Biden hasn’t said anything like the “press is the enemy of the people” or calling reporting “fake news.” I’m pretty sure Trump has far more inappropriate reactions to the press than Biden as well.

  13. Opinion: The CDC’s eviction moratorium is almost certainly illegal from the WaPo Editorial Board

    The CDC crafted its new moratorium after a previous eviction ban expired last week. The old policy covered the whole country and had been in place since September. But Supreme Court Justice Brett M. Kavanaugh warned in June that the CDC had “exceeded its existing statutory authority by issuing a nationwide eviction moratorium” and that it could not be renewed absent “clear and specific congressional authorization.”

    If the Trump administration had ignored a direct warning from the Supreme Court, Democrats would rightfully line up to condemn the president. Mr. Biden does not get a pass on the rule of law because his heart is in the right place.

    I think this is right, but I just want to add that if Trump ignored the Supreme Court to do something similar to extending the moratorium on evictions, I suspect many Democrats would not condemn this.

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